What Is the Real Timetable for Autonomous Cars?


Check out any news outlet—not just exemplary automotive news sources like this one—and there will be some talk of self driving cars. The autonomous cars are coming, but the question is– when, and how quickly before our roads become overrun with the autonomous vehicles?

Automakers like Google, Lexus and others are working at breakneck speeds to bring self driving cars to American roads, but if recent reports are to be believed, the true mass market acceptance of these vehicles is a little farther off than the rhetoric would have you think.


Analysts at Juniper Research deduce that by as soon as 2025, there will be as many as 20 million autonomous vehicles on the road. That is a lot of self-driving cars in just a decade’s time, but it won’t happen overnight. The study suggests that the market for self-driving cars will most likely begin taking off in 2021. So what does that mean for you?

Potentially not much. Many of the autonomous systems are already taking shape in features like collision avoidance systems and lane departure warning systems. These safety features will have consumers of five to 10 years from now conditioned to an active safety presence that can intervene in the event of an emergency.


So whose autonomous cars will you be driving first? Juniper created an index to determine which companies are the farthest along which factors in miles tested on the road, technological developments, the size and scope of their respective autonomous projects, and finally “future potential and market opportunities.”

According to this index, Google is the farthest along, followed by Volvo, Daimler, Tesla, and finally Apple. Sure, plenty of other automakers are doing their best to bring autonomous cars to market, but according to this research, they are not nearly as far along as these top brands. So, is 2021-to-2025 too close for you? Or is it enough time to get ready? Let us know what you think in the comments below.